Cadence of Conflict: Asia, February 10, 2020

The words of US President Trump set an unsettling policy for Communist China: “We’re also getting our allies, finally, to help pay their fair share.” This is far-reaching.

By having multiple nations with multiple militaries operating with appropriate budgets, China faces an enclave of opponents, not just one. There is no single head to decapitate. If you’re in Beijing, sitting in a room filled with Mandarin speakers who agree that they are entitled to make the world their servant, Trump’s words scare you.

While Beijing fights the virus it tried to cover up, Taiwan had recorded 10 deaths from that virus. Yet, China reported 13 in Taiwan, then told the United Nations that China speaks accurately for Taiwan, still arguing that Taiwan should not enter the WHO—even taking offense, still, at any suggestion of entry. Taiwanese Foreign Minister Wu pointed out that the WHO has referred to Taiwan by at least three different names in reporting on China’s Wuhan outbreak. This week, even the US spoke up for Taiwan’s request to join the WHO; China was all the more offended.

The outbreak isn’t fairing well for China’s credibility in governing Hong Kong either. Supermarkets are full of empty shelves.

While China’s central government will continue the playbook strategy of blaming the very local governments it dominates, the central government’s solution to the failure of a centralized government will be to centralize more government. In Confucian Communism, control is the solution to every problem, especially the problems that control causes. So they themselves believe even more than they purport, the reason that China has so many challenges within its vast stretches of land is that it doesn’t have even more land. The Chinese Communists believe that their number one problem is that they don’t control the world.

China

Wuhan Virus Cover-Up Exposes a China Built on Lies // Foreign Policy

Coronavirus Live Updates: An American Dies of the Virus in Wuhan, China // NY Times

Boy, 7, infected with H9 avian flu adding to health woes in Hong Kong already battling coronavirus outbreak // SCMP

Death of a Hero Coronavirus Doctor Sparks Crisis in Xi’s China // Bloomberg

Xi Warns Virus May Impact China’s Stability // Yahoo News

China’s reaction to the coronavirus outbreak violates human rights // Guardian

Taiwan

Virus Outbreak: US, China clash over Taiwan at WHO // Taipei Times

Hong Kong

Hundreds more Hong Kong flights to be cancelled as coronavirus hammers air travel // SCMP

Coronavirus: panic buying shows no sign of ending in Hong Kong as shoppers urge government to try to restore public’s confidence // SCMP

Four in 10 Hong Kong hotel staff may lose jobs as coronavirus outbreak deters the few remaining visitors still braving the city’s protest rallies // SCMP

Hong Kong Reports First Death From Coronavirus Outbreak // NY Times

Now may be the time to close the border // SCMP

Vietnam

Vietnam’s Economy is Being Squeezed in the U.S.-China Trade War // Bloomberg

Military Faceoff

New, smaller nuclear warhead deployed for first time // Military Times