Cadence of Conflict: Asia, September 16, 2019

China is running into one of the problems of Communism; once the government controls a company, what that company buys is fair game in treaty negotiations. China’s government owns a lot of Chinese companies. The world already knows this, but Trump is the first president to figure it out.

Neither Trump nor Xi are attempting any kind of long term trade deal. Xi will only accept a deal where China can grow enough to eradicate the English language from Western culture and the Magna Carta is forgotten, in which case a trade deal wouldn’t be necessary anyway. Trump will only accept a trade deal in which that can’t happen.

No deal is anticipated by either. Both are vying for time and ways to milk money away from the other to fund their own goals, which are already known, though not everyone has figured them out because not many people want to. We’re on a collision course with war and no one wants to admit that.

Delaying the October 1 tariffs because 1. the Chinese premier asked for it and 2. because of the 70th Anniversary celebrating the Chinese Communist Party will only embolden the Chinese Communists. The Chinese love parades, and if they think America respects their parades, they will think it proves that they are invincible. This is a part of Chinese thinking Americans struggle to understand.

Equally, the Chinese struggle to understand Trump. In his Tweet announcement, where he delays the tariffs, but also reminds everyone how bad they will be just two weeks later—it’s a mind game that Beijing can’t grasp. Even reading this article won’t help the Chinese get wise to how much they are being played. The only reason they are so easy to play is because they make it so easy by refusing to abandon their Confucian values. Ironically, those are the very values they want to impose on the rest of the world by Sinicizing the rest of the world.

So, mid-October has become the big date. That’s when Trump slaps more tariffs on China, and that’s when Taiwan is expected to finalize its purchase of 66 brand-new, shiny, American F-16Vs.

Great Pacific

US warship sails near contested Paracel Islands // Taipei Times

Top US diplomat raises alarm over Chinese disinformation war on Taiwan // Taiwan News

Trade & Tech

China is starting to eat into its reserves of pork // CNN

U.S. Charges Chinese Professor Accused of Theft to Help Huawei // Yahoo News


Trade war and economic slowdown leave giant Chinese industrial estate scrambling to keep foreign companies // SCMP

US-China trade war’s unstoppable global economic transformation // CNBC

China to exempt U.S. pork and soybeans from additional trade war duties, in response to Trump’s tariff delay // POLITICO

China’s Economy Will Shrink. Trade War Has No End In Sight. // Forbes

Taiwan warns citizens not to travel to Hong Kong and China after businessman detained // CNN

US stock futures rise after Trump delays tariff hikes against China until Oct 15 // MarketWatch

Trump delays tariff hikes on Chinese goods ahead of talks // BBC News

In countdown to trade war talks, China ready to sweeten deal by buying American goods, source says // SCMP

China will win trade war, reduce reliance on US tech: Strategist // CNBC

USA to look at Chinese govt books…
US must concede final 20 per cent of demands to agree trade war deal with China, leading Chinese expert says // SCMP


Taipei plans to act fast on F-16s: US official // Taipei Times

Nation signs consular deal with the US // Taipei Times

Bill for Taiwan purchase of F-16s likely to be passed in October: lawmaker // Taiwan News

Tsai leading presidential race in all scenarios: poll // Taipei Times

Foxconn Billionaire Clears Path for Taiwan Presidential Run // Yahoo News

Mayors of Taipei, Taichung, Kaohsiung ranked bottom for performance // Focus Taiwan

Domestic arms key to deterrence plan // Taipei Times

Aides to Foxconn founder and Taipei mayor visit election commission together // Taiwan News

Taipei Mayor faces backlash on Facebook after controversial comments // Taiwan News

Hong Kong

Groups clash as HK protests enter 15th week // Taipei Times

Hong Kong protests: Petrol bombs and water cannon used in clashes // BBC News

Hong Kong police fire tear gas, water cannon after protesters hurl petrol bombs: Live updates // CNN

Hong Kong protesters clash with pro-Beijing counterparts // Aljazeera

Hong Kong activist to Germany: stop selling riot control kit to city // Guardian

Hong Kong Protesters Wave the American Flag, but Is It Too Late? // Yahoo News

Billionaire Pansy Ho tells UN human rights body she feels repressed by Hong Kong protests // SCMP

Anti-government movement takes singing protest to Hong Kong malls // SCMP

Hong Kong protesters hit pause to mark Sept. 11 attacks // Yahoo News

Hong Kong’s Protest Movement Is Getting Darker // The Atlantic

Hong Kong’s richest man Li Ka Shing tells city’s leaders to ‘have mercy’ in dealing with protests, East Asia News & Top Stories // Straits Times

Hong Kong Activist Joshua Wong Confirms Arrest at Airport // Bloomberg

Korean Peninsula

Several dead as Typhoon Lingling hits North Korea // Aljazeera


Navy carrier strike group deploys without carrier after flattop breaks // Business Insider