Cadence of Conflict: Asia, January 25, 2016


Since Taiwan’s election, China and the KMT-Nationalists have been largely silent. While the Chinese aren’t spending as much money at home, and while the Chinese economy looks evermore shaky, Xi Jinping has no problem dealing with Egypt or declaring all but war against Israel. Historically, talking ill of Israel is bad political luck. Perhaps China thinks itself the exception to many things.

Taiwan’s pro-China KMT-Nationalist party is out for the count. Defeated. Wind knocked-out. Humiliated. It’s over. And, it is surprising. Not only did the KMT respond by acknowledging their defeat; its members showed no awareness of how their pro-China policies would dissolve their power at home nor how their mismanagement of domestic disarray from poor policies would make their aspirations untenable. There was no way the could win, yet the only seem to have seen this in retrospect.

That hindsight realization could have a contagious affect and spread to US policy. The Obama administration has made a Trump nomination and victory ever bit as inevitable as how Taiwan’s DPP opposition victory owes thanks to Taiwan’s Ma administration. Tsai couldn’t not have won in 2016 just how Obama couldn’t have lost with George W. Bush’s foreign policies and refusal to respond to the press. Maybe the West will get wise. This year, there were no Chinese missiles fired across Taiwan, as there was in 1996. Few things indicate that Beijing is learning like this.


China’s spending on high-end stuff is in decline | Quartz

China supports East Jerusalem as capital of sovereign Palestinian state – President Xi | RT

President Xi Jinping signs deals with Egypt as China looks to boost clout in the Middle East | Straits Times


US petition launched to recognize Taiwan as nation | Taipei Times

An army of Chinese trolls has jumped the Great Firewall to attack Taiwanese independence on Facebook | Quartz

Thirty-six deaths blamed on temperature drop | Taipei Times

Why a washed-up pop star is suddenly the most hated man in Taiwan | Quartz

Ma considering choice of new premier: spokesman | Taipei Times

Think tank calls on KMT to be more localized, practical | Taipei Times


A North Korean defector returns home and tearfully rips up her own memoir | Quartz

U.S. student detained in North Korea ‘over hotel incident’ | Yahoo-Reuters