Cadence of Conflict: Asia, July 11, 2016


Abe’s landslide re-election in Japan, a US shield deployment in South Korea, and $2B USD pumping into Taiwan’s navy won’t exactly be sweet music to countries on the other side of the line. China isn’t in a position to make demands. Though, Beijing has denounced Hague’s coming trial often and loudly.

Beijing doesn’t know what and who they are dealing with. What is Washington’s motive for allowing China to continue to build islands? Why doesn’t Washington intervene if Washington objects? Bejing doesn’t seem to have considered the trend: America is outsourcing once again. These islands, “Made in China”, are the perfect place for the US to expand its naval presence.

Consider the scenario: Keep monitoring the construction under the guise of “intel gathering”. Once the islands are useful to the US, make the perfect “mistake” to provoke the bull. The bullfighter wins slowly, one cut at a time, three years later, all China’s man-made islands belong to the US at the “Chinese surrender”.

It’s not necessarily going to happen, but it could. And, for all arguments and responses coming from China, Beijing doesn’t seem to have considered that particular psychology of Washington, clearly available in the headlines of history.

China warns US on sovereignty ahead of South China Sea ruling | Channel News Asia

Beijing holds South China Sea war games before ruling | Inquirer

Deadly Super Typhoon Nepartak Slams Taiwan (PHOTOS) | TWC

Additional troops deployed to assist Taitung clean-up | Taipei Times

Japan’s Prime Minister Shinzo Abe claims victory in parliamentary vote | Straits Times

Human Rights Abuses Cause US to Sanction Kim Jong Un | Santa Monica Observer

US missile shield in South Korea shakes up strategic balance | Asia Times

Ministry unveils US$6bn warship building plan | Taipei Times