Cadence of Conflict: Asia, May 27, 2019

President Trump’s response to Kim Jong-Un’s recent missile party neither shows lack of a plan nor lack of respect for Japan; it show patience and insight. Gaining and maintaining trust and respect in difficult situations requires sureness in action and slowness in harsh words. Talk is cheap. These are politics, after all.

Trump has taken no action nor signed any orders giving Kim more permission. Many pundits and opinion commentators have speculated that Trump will have difficulty with Abe because of his patient words for Kim, but all of this speculation is speculation only. They are presenting a model to analyze Trump’s decisions, but that model is devoid of a grid of using “kind words” in the face of betrayal. Kim’s strategy has not deviated: provoke a US response. Trump’s words “defuse” that strategy, so to speak. Trump is no pretentious fool, more of a patient father.

The situation in China, however is heating up, obviously for the same reasons. Trump and Xi exchange similar words as Trump gives in response to Kim’s actions. They promise to prepare for talks while rallying their own citizens against each other. Rumors of peace are the surest sign that there is none just as provocation indicates a peace not easily broken.

Taiwan is gearing up for war, its war machine in full motion. Taiwan is beginning mass production of strategic strike responses. Taiwan is renaming one of its offices to include both “US” and “Taiwan” in the name, which is a first. These are not actions that have any intention of appeasing Beijing.

Then, there’s Hong Kong. Responses from the American government would view the SAR as no longer capable of diplomatic ties if the extradition law on the table is passed. This extradition law would likely isolate Hong Kong from North America and Europe. We know war is close, but “how close” will be known by whether Beijing allows “Asia’s World City” to internationally isolate itself.

Those promised and prepared talks between Beijing and Washington will only serve as size-ups, if they even happen.

Huawei

Google suspends Huawei from Android services | FT

Google may just have killed Huawei’s bid to become the world’s top smartphone brand | CNN

Google reportedly ends business with Huawei, will cut it off from Play Store [Updated] | Ars Technica

A rare look inside Huawei, China’s tech giant | CNN

Huawei Dispute Could Be Resolved in US-China Trade Deal, Trump Says | Technology News

China

China says trade talks can’t continue unless US addresses actions | CNBC

Trump predicts ‘fast’ trade deal with China but provides no evidence | CNBC

China Commits to Trade Talks Amid ‘Groundless’ Huawei Suspicions | Bloomberg

Trump’s ‘Easy’ Trade War Hits Snags as China Plays the Long Game | Bloomberg

Taiwan

Taiwan begins mass production of home-grown missile corvettes, minelayers | SCMP

How standing up to Xi Jinping could help Taiwan’s Tsai Ing-wen come back from the political dead | SCMP

US creating own supply chain for new battle with China after trade war ends, Foxconn chief Terry Gou says | SCMP

Taiwan’s coordination body for the US renamed | Taipei Times

Majority sees Taiwan and China as separate: study | Taipei Times

Retain Taipei ties, Pacific nations urged | Taipei Times

Hong Kong

EU lodges formal diplomatic note against contentious Hong Kong extradition bill | Yahoo – Reuters

China calls on Germany to correct ‘mistakes’ over asylum for Hong Kong independence activists | Yahoo – Reuters

A student in Boston wrote ‘I am from Hong Kong.’ An onslaught of Chinese anger followed. | WA Post

More int’l criticism of Hong Kong’s controversial extradition bill, as legislature caves to gov’t demands | Hong Kong Free Press

US Lawmakers Show Support for Hong Kong’s Advocacy Against Proposed Extradition Bill | NTD

Hong Kong is Set for a U.S.-China Showdown | FP

The End of Hong Kong Is Almost Here | FP

China tightens the screws on Hong Kong | The Hill

Hong Kong leader Carrie Lam hits back at EU officials who protested against controversial extradition bill, saying they did not pinpoint concerns | SCMP

North Korea

North Korea calls Joe Biden an “imbecile bereft of elementary quality as a human being” after Biden called Kim Jong Un a tyrant | CBS News

North Korea lashes out at Joe Biden | CNN Video

Trump plays down North Korea’s missile test putting him at odds with Shinzo Abe | CNN

Retired Lt. Gen criticizes Trump’s North Korea tweet | CNN Video

Trump says ‘I have confidence’ after past North Korea missile tests | The Hill

Donald Trump and Abe’s friendship day: golf, sumo and barbecue | CNN

Trump brushes off North Korea’s launch of ‘some small weapons’ | Guardian

Military

‘Skyborg’ could let F-35 and F-15 fighter jets control their own companion drones | The Verge

The F-21 Could Be One Tough Fighter (With F-35 DNA). Here’s the Problem. | National Interest

Watch 2 F-35s flex in ‘beast mode’ in support of US troops in Afghanistan | Task & Purpose