Cadence of Conflict: Asia, September 3, 2018

China is in trouble. We don’t know why, but we know the indication: Trump will be absent from ASEAN. He was absent from a funeral this week and his support grew. He was absent from a Republican debate, then he won the Republican nomination. By not meeting Xi face to face, Xi won’t be able to read his emotions. No one knows exactly what Trump has planned, only that he’s spending a lot of time on the golf course—a luxury banned by China’s Communist Party—a luxury that just so happens to be Trump’s favorite place to mull things over and get new ideas.

In the rainy season of August, Taiwan enjoyed almost three weeks of cloud cover. Whatever went on in Taiwan, it was difficult to see from above, and China never likes not being able to see from above. There’s nothing like a little conveniently bad weather to irritate the away team. But, that wasn’t the end.

The US is looking at a contingency of Marines to defend its unofficial embassy in Taipei and a former chief suggests simulating attacks on China’s Soviet made, diesel powered aircraft carrier, the Liaoning, if it gets close enough to Taiwan. Such a statement is purely provocative and no chief, former or sitting, would make such provocation without sitting in counsel. This all compares to the Scottish flashing each other before a battle of the kilts. This week, the Taipei Times published numerous insulting and blatantly disrespectful stories from Taiwanese politics, spitting at China. Taiwan wouldn’t do without backing.

Former US Intel Chief: Taiwan Should Practice Attacking China’s Liaoning Carrier | Sputnik

US admiral pans ‘intercept everything’ plan | Taipei Times

Beijing snooping into firms’ political ties | Taipei Times

Lai to set goals to make English official language | Taipei Times

No push for UN membership: source | Taipei Times

Beijing issues visa threat to Taiwanese | Taipei Times

Residency cards a ‘Chinese ploy’ | Taipei Times

China says not putting pressure on Eswatini | Taipei Times

Trump to skip ASEAN, APEC meetings | Taipei Times