Cadence of Conflict: Asia, August 24, 2015

Cadence of Conflict: Asia, August 24, 2015

North Korea does it’s annual late summer saber-rattling while the US and South Korea run their annual pre-autumn laps on the peninsula. Everyone’s in an uproar and “this time” it could be dangerous—again. Back to school.

China’s market slows while it’s naval activity rises. Chinese business is no longer the talk of town, though banking is as Beijing goes liquid. 400 deep pockets lost $182B USD to China’s sinking tech.

Taiwan’s election season continues to heat up. In this week’s episode of old school v democracy, DPP Mayor William Lai threatened to close the KMT-Nationalist-controlled Taiwan Control Yuan if the Control Yuan tries to close him, but not Speaker Lee who was found guilty in a lower court of buying the votes that gave him his speakership. Apparently, the Control Yuan is not even a Constitutionally legal entity. China does is own gossip among Americans about the DPP. So, it’s clear how important the Taiwan 2016 election will be.  · · · →

Cadence of Conflict: Asia, August 17, 2015

Cadence of Conflict: Asia, August 17, 2015

Chinese marketing, Taiwanese elections, and new military toys. Both Taiwan and China have been touting their military equipment. This goes a bit beyond the usual saber rattling; it’s more like sabre “show and tell”.

China launches a recruitment video for it’s Navy (PLAN). Though, China is facing an aging labor force and lacks the resources to make the Navy in the video become a Navy much father from its own coast. Perhaps it’s lack of range is why China seeks to build new islands. The video of dropping bombs does not ease concerns that China wants to expand in other territories. But the fact that it’s marketing has gone to such lengths does provide some reason for confidence that it’s dreams are only dreams.

Taiwan’s elections are heating up and it’s nothing the international community should ignore. While an old pro-unification third party (PFP People’s First Party) candidate, who helped persecute the Taiwanese’s own native language, is slightly rising in the polls, Taiwan’s own “game of thrones” politics could offset the balance.  · · · →

Cadence of Conflict: Asia, August 10, 2015

Cadence of Conflict: Asia, August 10, 2015

A typhoon and some bad follow-up weather beat up Pacific Asia over the weekend and it’s not over. China’s controversial island building got ASEAN’s attention and John Kerry’s time. Beijing claims that island reclaiming has ceased, Kerry has not confirmed.

The typhoon was an interruption to many things this week, including the curriculum controversy in Taiwan: The demonstrators packed-up and now the government must clean up. But the typhoon was also a warning that Beijing should not be so concerned about whether its man-made military islands are safe from Kerry and ASEAN, but from typhoons and tsunamis.


China’s island building faces scrutiny at ASEAN forum

Kerry Urges China to Halt All Activities in Disputed Sea

Soudelor to Continue Flooding Risk in China, Expand Threat to South Korea


Curriculum talks with MOE break down

Teacher awarded compensation for Sunflower beating

Sorry Beijing, But Taiwan Isn’t Turning its Back on History—You Are

Two Myths About Taiwan’s DPP That Need to Be Laid to Rest

…How a prof at Missouri State University echos the same propaganda as China’s puppets in Taiwan

Nation attempts to regain its footing

…Taiwan in one of the strongest typhoons in over a decade


US has spied on Japanese government for a decade

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Cadence of Conflict: Asia, August 3, 2015

Cadence of Conflict: Asia, August 3, 2015

Propaganda backfired this week. Beijing wants more Internet censorship, almost to create a “Chinanet” akin to another Great Schism not seen since the Orthodox Church split from the West. TPP failed. Students in Taiwan stormed government offices to keep out China-propaganda over “minor” changes to national curriculum. An Australia-India-Japan alliance plumed out of nowhere. Taiwan and Japan are kissing and making up. And some truth came through well-kept gates.

An 18-year-old got back from his year in North Korea. The North Koreans shower together like Americans and Romans. North Korean students are curious about mundane life in America. And, notably, North Koreans seem to agree with a Americans: Government is the problem, not the people.

Joshua Wang, Hong Kong, had an interview with the BBC and explained that the Umbrella Movement never really had a plan and never communicated a plan to the public. But they did succeed in raising public awareness.  · · · →

Cadence of Conflict: Asia, July 27, 2015

Cadence of Conflict: Asia, July 27, 2015

Propaganda. Taiwanese students protest “rewriting” history curriculum. Taiwan’s Ministry of Education responded on cue: police to arrest protesters—as well as three reporters. Notwithstanding Mark Twain’s “Never argue with people who buy ink by the barrel”, taking action against the students will fall into the playbook MLK used in Birmingham. Had the police not responded, there might not have been any news. The backlash will whack the Taiwan party that caves to China—just before an election. And, the stories reveal that freedom of Taiwanese’s own press in their own country is as bad as it is in China. Reportedly, the press aren’t allowed to cover a protest unless the government invites them.

Chinese TV shows a simulated assault on the Taiwan presidential palace. This raises questions about whether China has also simulated the vast mountain range and beach landing necessary to reach Taiwan’s presidential palace. China’s propaganda within its own borders could backfire—not that the international world should be concerned with whether China tells the truth to its own people, but if the public gets unhappy with the Beijing bullhorn, it would create another battlefront, on top of the other battlefronts expanded under Xi Jinping.  · · · →

Cadence of Conflict: Asia July 20, 2015

Cadence of Conflict: Asia July 20, 2015

“Pacific fever”—the state of forgetting which country one is in.

China is headed for an all out tailspin, economically and politically. Beijing was smart with money, courting foreign investment, and even smart with religion—allowing Christianity on the condition it did not form a de facto political caucus. The economy went up. The number of Christians soared. But China made a mistake in trying to expand borders.

During natural disasters, Taiwan helps its neighbors, Japan and the Philippines, two other countries being pushed-around by Beijing. The Communists’ old enemy, the KMT (Nationalist Party), is still in Taiwan and has remained Beijing’s primary target in the Pacific. If war breaks out, China would not be outnumbered, but they would be surrounded and out-witted by multiple enemies, each whom China has ever failed to conquer.

The “peripheries” around China—Taiwan, the man-made islands in the South China Sea, parts of Vietnam, the Philippines, and Japan, possibly even Tibet and the Mongolia claim, not to mention the way of handling the Hong Kong policy—all these diluted China’s power and alerted other countries.  · · · →