Cadence of Conflict: Asia, July 29, 2019

China says that Hong Kong CEO Carrie Lam may not resign because she must remain in power to clean up the mess China started and blames on her. Albeit, staying in power to clean up her scape-goat mess is impossible because cleaning up that mess requires her to resign as the people demanded. The “mess” includes her being there in the first place—because her election was not from self-governance as Hong Kongers were promised in 1984. The mess also includes China saying who may and may not resign—because China doesn’t get a say about one grain of sand in Hong Kong until 2047.

The whole problem goes back to China’s inability to not meddle. A Beijing-managed group based in Shenzhen has been carefully researching and observing the developments in Hong Kong so that Beijing can know how to properly respond—whatever that’s supposed to mean. Make no mistake, they aren’t trying to understand how to govern a free people or understand the reasonable requests of a free and self-motivated economy. They aren’t trying to learn whatever wisdom might have made the West so rich and powerful in the first place. No, Beijing is on a mission to Sinicize Hong Kong out of being Hong Kong.

The current task is to figure out how to “disappear” 2 million Hong Kongers without the world noticing. Hong Kong’s police under-reported the 2 million turnout; they’ll probably under-report the number of “disappeared” people as well, and they need research to make it sound convincing. If the protests had happened in Xinjiang, Beijing wouldn’t need to do such research because the world wouldn’t be watching because making 2 million people disappear in Xinjiang was never a problem in the past. And, that’s what Hong Kongers rightly fear.

Beijing’s research narrative presumes that Hong Kongers only fear being “Xinjianged” because some phantom, invisible Western influence influenced them. They have no proof of this, but that’s Beijing’s presumption. If there’s a problem, it must be America’s fault. So, Beijing’s approach is to sneak around and spy from the shadows until this phantom “influence monster” from the evil West shows its face. That’s Beijing’s plan to solve the Hong Kong problem.

Now, there’s constitutional discussion about where and how Hong Kong’s “Basic Law” allows military intervention from China, namely if Hong Kong’s government asks. But, the whole discussion misses the whole point—that Hong Kong’s Basic Law is based on the Sino-British Joint Declaration of 1984 of non-interference from Beijing. Beijing already interfered by not allowing self-governance in Hong Kong as promised. Not letting Carry Lam resign is yet another violation of that promise and premise. So, technically, the law beneath the Basic Law has already been dissolved. And, Beijing only incriminates itself further by claiming that promises made in the past don’t need to be kept because they are in the past.

Pay attention because, while Taiwan is a linchpin that will bring America into war with China, Hong Kong is the linchpin that will bring the UK and Europe along with it.

Trade & Tech

South Korea vs. Japan: The Trade War the World Needs to Watch // National Interest

Huawei abandons mysterious plan B, placing big bet on Trump trade deal // Business Insider

Huawei CEO Ren Zhengfei: ‘Shutting Huawei out is the start of the US falling behind’ // Yahoo News

China scrambles to stem manufacturing exodus as 50 companies leave // Nikkei Asian Review

More than 50 companies reportedly pull production out of China due to trade war // CNBC

China-US trade talks reportedly slow to a standstill over Huawei // CNBC

China wants trade deal with US despite hardline stance—Clete Willems // CNBC

Signs point to the trade war dragging on as China strikes hard-line tone // CNBC

‘The credit doesn’t go to the White House’…
China says Trump ‘misleading’ people linking trade deal, slowing economy // CNA

Huawei will reportedly lay off hundreds of US workers // The Verge

U.S. Tech Firms Will Pull Manufacturing From China, Not Return to U.S. // Digital Trends


Two killed, 12 missing after huge blast rocks China gas plant: state media // Yahoo News

Another Massive Gas Explosion Rocks China, Casualties Unknown //

Hong Kong and Taiwan find solidarity against China // Quartz

China issues 17,000 smart watches to pupils to track movements // Yahoo News

Chinese state assets watchdog discusses ways to boost cooperation with US firms ahead of next round of trade talks // SCMP

Move over Trump: China’s tweeting diplomats open fresh front in propaganda fight // Yahoo News

China Knows How to Buy Off Enemies // Bloomberg

Heart-wrenching documentary…
Xinjiang: China, where are my children? // YouTube @ BBC News

Shocking inside documentary…
Inside China’s ‘thought transformation’ camps // YouTube @ BBC News

As China locks up Muslims in Xinjiang, it opens its doors to tourists // Bangkok Post

Beyond the Trade War, China’s Economy Is Struggling to Stabilize // Bloomberg

China Q2 GDP: Beijing posts economic data amid trade war with US // CNBC


US must stand with Taiwan amid threats: US senator // Taipei Times

Formosa Alliance enters political arena // Taipei Times

Kaohsiung mayor slammed for not inspecting flooding // Taipei Times

Hong Kongers seek political asylum // Taipei Times

Tsai says ‘Hong Kong friends’ could be given asylum on humanitarian grounds // Taiwan News

Steps toward law & order…
Taiwan finds 1,215 illegal hotels // Taiwan News

US House Foreign Affairs Committee honors Taiwan president // Taiwan News

Fmr NATO sec-general…
Hong Kong showed China is a threat to democracy. Now Europe must defend Taiwan // Guardian

Han wins KMT primary // Taipei Times

China holds drills in Taiwan Strait, calls for sanctions against US companies // CNN

Kaohsiung mayor Han Kuo-yu wins KMT ticket to challenge Tsai Ing-wen for Taiwan presidency // SCMP

Hong Kong

Hong Kong protests: Beijing to speak out after weeks of civil unrest // CNN

Yet again…
Hundreds of thousands take to the streets in latest Hong Kong protest // Vox

Protesters vandalise Beijing’s office in Hong Kong // YouTube @ South China Morning Post

Jimmy Lai interview…
Hong Kong marchers pelt Beijing Liaison Office with eggs in latest protest // Fox News

Chaos and bloodshed in Hong Kong district as hundreds of masked men assault protesters, journalists, residents // HKFP

Pro-China Hong Kong protester calls BBC reporter ‘fake news’ during broadcast // BBC News

Commentary: EU should quit meddling in China’s internal affairs // Xinhua News

European Parliament to debate enacting export controls on tech ‘used to violate basic rights’ in Hong Kong // HKFP

European Parliament approves motion on Hong Kong, as Beijing calls it full of ‘ignorance and prejudice’ // SCMP

Hong Kong protester accused of biting off police officer’s finger charged, as Demosisto activists remain in detention // HKFP

PHOTO: Hong Konger being attacked before report of ‘police finger bitten off’ //

Hong Kong extradition bill protests: police warn organisers they may block Kowloon rally between Hung Hom and To Kwa Wan over unrest fears // SCMP

‘Police finger bitten off’…
Hong Kong leader Carrie Lam condemns ‘rioters’ after latest violent clash // Japan Times

Hong Kong leader Carrie Lam slams ‘rioters’ who attacked police in Sha Tin on Sunday and calls on all residents to defend rule of law // SCMP

Hong Kong protesters march in new outpouring of grievances // Taiwan News

Thousands back on Hong Kong streets to keep up pressure // Aljazeera

Hong Kong police chief condemns ‘thug’ protesters after extradition bill clashes in Sha Tin leave 22 people in hospital with 6 in critical or serious condition // SCMP

Korean Peninsula

Wall Street Journal issues correction regarding North Korean nuke story // WA Examiner

Russians? Because he’s ‘not supposed’ to have it…
How did Kim Jong Un get his Mercedes-Benzes? // CNN

‘Rehearsal of war’: North Korea says nuclear talks at risk if US-South exercises go ahead // Sydney Morning Herald


Bad News: China is Building Three Huge Helicopter ‘Aircraft Carriers’ // National Interest

The Navy’s 6th Generation Fighter Could Put the F-35 in a Museum // Yahoo News