Cadence of Conflict: Asia, April 18, 2016


Historically, Socialism has been great until the State runs out of other people’s money. In the case of China, it will continue to be great until China’s banks run out of their own loans. China’s debt-driven “miracle” is a bubble expected to pop somewhere just over the horizon.

China doesn’t mean to burst Trump’s bubble, but when bubbles are bursting, the more the merrier. While the international spokesmen (AKA pundits and news writers) tell readers what they want the readers to know they should believe, China understands two things: 1. Trump’s ideas are unconventional, 2. US election rhetoric is usually “trumped” up. Economics will likely shift across the Pacific due to a plurality of causes. China says everything will remain more or less the same. So, everything remains more or less the same.

North Korea gears up for a fifth nuke test. The South sees it as more of a power move in lieu of Northern isolation. Russia and the US clashed sheathed sabres; China piped-in as was opportune. The Japanese had some of their own problems, though none them nuclear, which is more than can be said for Korea. Japan’s earthquake was the largest since 2011 and seemed to coincide with Ecuador’s broken record of 1900. This was definitely a week of shake-ups.

North Korea’s missile launch has failed, South’s military says | WA Post

North Korea preparing new nuclear test, says S Korea | BBC

Chinese Finance Minister Lou Jiwei Takes Aim at Donald Trump’s Trade Policies | WSJ

Trump’s foreign policy alarms the world: analysts | Yahoo–AFP

Putin’s Russia defies simple interpretation | Global Times

…Chinese State media

Russia jets make ‘simulated attack’ passes near U.S. destroyer: U.S. | Reuters

“Playing with fire”? Russia defends close fly-bys of U.S. warship | CBS

Strongest earthquake since 2011 strikes Kumamoto area | Japan Times

Regulator declares nuclear reactors safe after quake | Japan Today

Ecuador and Japan earthquakes: Are they related? | CNN